Monday, October 11, 2010
Dostana Part II
Pankaj Bhand +91-9405005540 student of JICA
Sunday, October 10, 2010
Capital structure
Cost
of debt
Tax is deductible expenses. The cost
of capital is equivalent to debt burden on organization has to bear in terms of
interest, tax or dividend etc. the formula for calculation is as below:
I (1-t) + (F-P/N)
Kd= (P+F)/2
Kd – cost of debt,
I- interest, t- taxation rate, F- face
value of debenture, P- net amount
realized, N- period of maturity.
Cost
of preference capital
Cost of dividend + cost of actual
additional liability in terms of tax+dividend payment expenses will result in
cost of capital. The effective rate of interest which organization needs to
bear is more than face value if tax and additional amounting expenses are high.
The formula for the same is as below:
PD+ (F-P)/N
Kp= (F+P)/2
Kp- cost of
preference shares, PD- preference
dividend, F-repayable value, P- net amount realised, and N- maturity period
Cost
of long term loan:
Long term loan is one of the sources
for capital. When loan is repaid additional burden of interest to with of
principle is to be bared by the firm as cost of capital. In this formula tax is
value additional factor considered in calculating cost of capital. Formula for
the same is as below:
Kd= interest (1- Tax Rate)
Cost
of equity capital:
Different approaches towards cost of
capital are as below:
Cost of equity capital
Dividend /Price Dividend, Price EPS to Price Cost of Retained Earnings Realised Yield
Approach and Growth Approach Approach Approach
Approach
EPS to Price approach:
Comparison of price of share with
earning per share is done as there is difference between face value and market
value of share so in place of dividend importance is given to earnings per
share. The formula for the same is as below:
Ke = EPS/P
EPS- earnings per
share, P -price of share
Cost of retained earnings approach:
Cost of retained earnings is a kind of
opportunity cost for investors. When company retains higher amount of earnings
then it is indication of future gain in terms of value addition to price and
asset charge of company. The formula for the same is as below:
Kr = cost of equity capital X (1-tp/
1-tg)
Kr – cost of
retained earnings, tp – ordinary personal
income tax rate, tg – personal long
term capital gains
Dividend /Price :
In this approach dividend and market
price of the shares is compared to analyse the cost of capital. This approach
can also be termed as EPS approach based on market price of the share. Ion this
approach what is current price and earnings for the same price in terms of
dividend are measured and then the amount of cost of capital is calculated .formula
for the same is as below:
Ke = D/MP
D- Dividend per
share, MP- market price of share
Dividend, Price and Growth Approach:
In this approach with amount of
dividend expected rate of growth of organization is also considered. The
formula to calculate cost of capital for the same is as below
Ke = D/ MP+ G (growth)
COMMODITY SWAPS
Producers
need to manage their exposure to fluctuations in the prices for their
commodities. They are primarily concerned with fixing prices on contracts to
sell their produce. A gold producer wants to hedge his losses attributable to a
fall in the price of gold for his current gold inventory. A cattle farmer wants
to hedge his exposure to changes in the price of his livestock.
End-users
need to hedge the prices at which they can purchase these commodities. A
university might want to lock in the price at which it purchases electricity to
supply its air conditioning units for the upcoming summer months. An airline
wants to lock in the price of the jet fuel it needs to purchase in order to
satisfy the peak in seasonal demand for travel.
Speculators
are funds or individual investors who can either buy or sell commodities by
participating in the global commodities market. While many may argue that their
involvement is fundamentally destabilizing, it is the liquidity they provide in
normal markets that facilitates the business of the producer and of the
end-user.
Why
would speculators look at the commodities markets? Traditionally, they may have
wanted a hedge against inflation. If the general price level is going up, it is
probably attributable to increases in input prices. Or, speculators may see
tremendous opportunity in commodity markets. Some analysts argue that commodity
markets are more technically-driven or more likely to show a persistent trend.
The
futures markets have been the traditional vehicles for participating in the
commodities markets. Indeed, derivatives markets started in the commodities
field.
Types
of commodity swaps
There
are two types of commodity swaps: fixed-floating or commodity-for-interest.
Fixed-floating swaps are just like the fixed-floating swaps in the
interest rate swap market with the exception that both indices are commodity
based indices.
General
market indices in the commodities market with which many people would be
familiar include the Goldman Sachs Commodities Index (GSCI) and the Commodities
Research Board Index (CRB). These two indices place different weights on the
various commodities so they will be used according to the swap agent's
requirements.
Commodity-for-interest swaps are similar to the equity swap in
which a total return on the commodity in question is exchanged for some money
market rate (plus or minus a spread).
Valuing
commodity swaps
In
pricing commodity swaps, we can think of the swap as a strip of forwards each
priced at inception with zero market value (in a present value sense). Thinking
of a swap as a strip of at-the-money forwards is also a useful intuitive way of
interpreting interest rate swaps or equity swaps.
Commodity
swaps are characterized by some idiosyncratic peculiarities, though.
These
include the following factors for which we must account (at a minimum):
- The
cost of hedging
- The
institutional structure of the particular commodity market in question
- The
liquidity of the underlying commodity market
- Seasonality
and its effects on the underlying commodity market
- The
variability of the futures bid/offer spread
- Brokerage
fees
- Credit
risk, capital costs and administrative costs
Some
of these factors must be extended to the pricing and hedging of interest rate
swaps, currency swaps and equity swaps as well. The idiosyncratic nature of the
commodity markets refers more to the often limited number of participants in
these markets (naturally begging questions of liquidity and market information),
the unique factors driving these markets, the inter-relations with cognate
markets and the individual participants in these markets.
Crop Insurance History:
In
our country crop production has been subjected to the vagaries of the climate.
Some of the other problems that the Indian agriculture is constantly tackling
with are the large-scale damages that are caused as a result of the attack of
pests and diseases. It is in a scenario such as this in India that the issue of crop
insurance assumes a vital role in the stable growth of the agricultural sector.
Tracing the Crop Insurance History in India we see that it was started
with the introduction of the All-Risk Comprehensive Crop Insurance Scheme
(CCIS) that covered the major crops. This scheme was introduced in 1985. In
fact this period of introduction also coincided with the introduction of the
Seventh-Five-year plan. This initial scheme was of course later substituted and
replaced by the National Agricultural Insurance Scheme. This substitution came
into effect from 1999. These Schemes that have been introduced throughout the
crop insurance history have been preceded by years of preparation, studies,
planning, experiments and trials on a pilot basis.
In the crop insurance history, the question of introducing a crop insurance scheme was taken up for examination soon after the Indian independence. The first aspect that was examined related to the modalities of crop insurance. The issue under consideration was about whether the crop insurance should be offered under an Individual approach or on Homogenous area approach.
The Individual approach of the scheme indemnifies the farmer to the full extent of the losses. Also the premium that is to be paid by him is determined with reference to his own past yield and loss experience. The Individual approach for these schemes necessitates reliable and accurate data of crop yields of individual farmers for a sufficiently long period, for fixation of premium on actuarially sound basis.
The Homogenous area approach on the other hand was aimed at envisaging a homogeneous area from the point of view of crop production and similarity of annual variability of crop production. The homogenous area approach was found to be more favorable. This is because it would facilitate the provision of a single unit treatment to various agro-climatically homogenous areas and the individual farmers and allow them to pay the same rate of premium and receive the same benefits, irrespective of their individual fortunes.
In the crop insurance history, the question of introducing a crop insurance scheme was taken up for examination soon after the Indian independence. The first aspect that was examined related to the modalities of crop insurance. The issue under consideration was about whether the crop insurance should be offered under an Individual approach or on Homogenous area approach.
The Individual approach of the scheme indemnifies the farmer to the full extent of the losses. Also the premium that is to be paid by him is determined with reference to his own past yield and loss experience. The Individual approach for these schemes necessitates reliable and accurate data of crop yields of individual farmers for a sufficiently long period, for fixation of premium on actuarially sound basis.
The Homogenous area approach on the other hand was aimed at envisaging a homogeneous area from the point of view of crop production and similarity of annual variability of crop production. The homogenous area approach was found to be more favorable. This is because it would facilitate the provision of a single unit treatment to various agro-climatically homogenous areas and the individual farmers and allow them to pay the same rate of premium and receive the same benefits, irrespective of their individual fortunes.
Agriculture Insurance
Comprehensive Crop Insurance Scheme
(CCIS) has been in operation in the country since Kharif 1985 as an instrument
of risk management in agriculture and as a measure of providing relief to
farmers whose crops are damaged due to natural calamities. The sum insured is
equal to crop loan disbursed subject to a maximum of Rs. 10,000 per farmer. The
premium is charged at the rate of 2 per cent for rice, wheat and millets and 1
per cent for pulses and oilseeds. Since inception of the Scheme in 1985, about
6.45 crore farmers have been covered up to rabi 1997-98 season. The total
amount of claims paid was Rs. 1623 crore as against a premium collection of
about Rs. 313 crore up to rabi, 1997- 98 season. The Scheme is thus unviable.
The losses incurred are met by the Government of India and the concerned state
Governments in the ratio 2:1. The main drawback of the scheme is seen in the
claims entertained for one single crop, namely, groundnut, because of which
Gujarat state alone received Rs. 792 crores as claims compensation out of all India
claims of Rs. 1623 crores. Thus one single crop (groundnut) in just one state (Gujarat ) alone claimed 48.8 percent of total claims
between 1985 to rabi 1997-98.
An Experimental Crop Insurance Scheme
was introduced by the Government of India during rabi 1997-98 season covering
non-loanee small and marginal farmers growing specified crops in selected
districts. The scheme could be implemented only in 14 districts of 5 States. The
premium was totally subsidised. Premium and claims both, were shared by Central
and State Governments in the ratio of 4:1. About 4.78 lakh farmers were covered
for a sum insured of Rs. 172 crore under the scheme during the rabi 1997-98
season. The total premium collected was Rs. 2.86 crore and against that, the
claims amounted to around Rs.
39.78 crore. The Scheme has since been
discontinued from kharif 1998 season. However, an expanded crop insurance
scheme that will cover all farmers and more crops is under active consideration
of the Government.
Economists have proven that farmers stand
to benefit from crop insurance, even unsubsidized crop insurance. However,
private markets for crop insurance worldwide are not highly developed, except
for in a few cases. Skees (2000) documents several reasons for the
underdevelopment of private crop insurance. Subsidized crop insurance crowds
out private insurers and stifles innovation. Farmers are considered to know
their risks better than the government or the private sector, so knowledge of
agriculture is essential for insurers. The need for information increases the
cost of insurance. Agricultural risk is unique—natural disasters can be
widespread and are neither completely independent nor correlated. Studies have
indicated that farmers/decision makers tend to underestimate the risk of damage
by natural causes.
In the United States crop insurance is
subsidized by the government but
administered through private companies.
Hail insurance is not subsidized, so most insurers offer hail insurance along
with the subsidized government policies. Rates are based upon the history of
crop losses due to hail in the county and competition also plays a factor in
keeping rates low. Adverse selection is not an issue because companies set
rates higher for high-risk areas. Moral hazard is also less of a problem, as
hail is a natural event. The multiple-peril insurance subsidized by the government
is considered to be too expensive if offered without subsidies. A crop insurance
agent from Midwest estimated that over half of
the farmers who purchase subsidized multi-peril crop insurance also purchase
hail insurance. The model used for hail insurance can also be used for other
natural disasters, like drought, flood, and wind. The current subsidized insurance
program administered
through private companies is relatively
new. This program is considered to be a significant improvement over the
previous unpopular programs administered by the government, although it is not
flawless. An option for the Indian government is to administer its crop
insurance program through private companies and gradually phase out the
subsidy. This option could best be used for a “transition” period. Initially
subsidizing premium rates for crop insurance offered through private companies
would give the private sector incentive to enter the agricultural sector and
time to gain experience before the withdrawal of subsidies. Crop insurance in South Africa
was started in 1929 when a group of farmers started a pool scheme. Subsidized multi-peril
insurance was offered for some time, but for the past fifteen years no
subsidies have been given. Hail is the main peril covered and many other perils
are also covered. Historical data and past claims play a role in determining
the premiums and damage assessment is the biggest challenge for crop insurers.
Crops at different stages are affected differently by hail, making knowledge
essential for insurers. There are several players and new ones are
continuously targeting this market.
Several crops are covered, including maize, wheat, sunflowers, and citrus
fruits. The South Africa
case illustrates how private individuals can offer crop insurance that is
beneficial to farmers and how crop insurance can still exist after subsidies
are withdrawn. In Canada
crop insurance was administered through an area approach, similar to that of India .
Research from 1995 by Turvey and Islam indicated that the area approach was not
only inequitable but also inefficient. The empirical research from 537 farms
confirmed the belief that individual crop insurance is better in terms of
risk reduction, but premiums would also be
higher. The area approach in Canada
was concluded to be inequitable, as benefits were not fairly distributed. The
most benefits to be accrued would be by the farmers with yields closest to the
average.
The crop insurance in Canada was
voluntary at this time, unlike the NAIS. Adverse selection would be less of a
problem at the individual level when insurance is mandatory.
Cross-subsidization would be more of a problem, because the better farmers
having to purchase insurance would indirectly subsidize the worse farmers. A
1997 study by Sakurai and Reardon indicated that there was an unmet demand for
formal drought insurance in Burkina
Faso . Burkina Faso is a part of the West
African Semi-Arid Tropics (WASAT) and experiences frequent drought. Much of the
farmland in India
is in the semi-arid tropics. The demand for drought insurance was found to
decrease in households with higher overall incomes or more self-insurance. The
authors suggest that crop insurance alone is not sufficient; that policy and
programs that supports self-insurance, such as micro credit or increase of
off-farm employment, are also important. Perhaps in India public funds and government policy
would be better aimed at strengthening self insurance mechanisms, while leaving
crop insurance to the private sector.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)